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Jun 06, 2022

What is inflation futures trading and how can investors profit from it?

Investors looking to profit from inflation can do so by trading inflation futures. Inflation futures are a type of derivative, and like other derivatives, they are based on an underlying asset. ⁠ ⁠In this case, the underlying asset is the consumer price index (CPI).The CPI measures the prices of a basket of goods and services that are representative of what consumers purchase. The CPI is released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. nflation futures are traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). They are cash-settled, meaning that at expiration, the CME will settle the contract by paying out the difference between the CPI at expiration and the CPI at the time the contract was entered into, multiplied by the contract value.

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For example, let's say the CPI is 100 at the time an investor buys a contract, and the CPI is 102 at expiration. The CME would pay out (102 - 100) x $250,000 = $500,000.

The value of the contract is $250,000, and the minimum price fluctuation is 0.01. So, for every 0.01 increase in the CPI, the contract value will increase by $250.

Investors can profit from inflation by buying inflation futures when they believe the CPI will be higher in the future than it is today. They can also profit by selling inflation futures when they believe the CPI will be lower in the future.

The key to profiting from inflation futures is to correctly predict the direction of the CPI. This can be difficult to do, as the CPI is influenced by a variety of factors, including economic growth, unemployment, and energy prices.

Investors who are able to correctly predict the direction of the CPI can make a lot of money trading inflation futures.

Albert Newton

Albert Newton

A beautiful mind

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